BMW Championship Hosted at Conway Farms (Lake Forest, Illinois)

Albatross
Kevin Chappell: +6,000 Outright Winner

After qualifying for his first President’s Cup and representing America, Kevin Chappell has taken this week’s long shot for the outright winner. It’s often easy to look at the odds for the field and imagine what you could do with $3,000 on a $10 bet when Wesley Bryan trick shots his way to victory. However, Kevin Chappell is a perfect pick at 60/1, as he is trying to prove why he deserves to be on team USA and payback for slipping in last year’s Tour Championship. Most people prefer Church’s Chicken on Sundays, but I’ll take Chappell at the Farm.


Eagle
Paul Casey: +2,500 First Round Leader

What’s not to like about a top 10 scorer this year, solid iron play throughout the first two rounds of the FedEx cup, and a caddy who rocks Jordans on the course. Paul Casey has not lived up to his incredibly overhyped statistics on the Tiger Woods video game series, but has made quite the splash since coming from over the pond. Casey’s putting let him down in Boston last week, but has still been a strong scorer in the first two rounds this year. Just like the Red Coats from Great Britain, Casey can get off to a hot start but can’t seem to finish what he started. However, 25/1 odds is worth going for the green in two this weekend.

Birdie
Daniel Berger: +1,000 Top 5 finish

Victoria Slater, enough said. Berger is winning on and off the course, but a 16 under performance at the 2015 BMW Championship and a victory in the current year make him an easy five footer, right edge for this week’s Birdie pick. I would not be surprised to see Daniel win outright but the safe bet is a top 5 finish.

Par
Jon Rahm: +350 Top 5 finish

This is not your epic sand save or 30 foot grinder to save par. This is your sure bet, tap in par, after just rolling the Birdie past. Jon Rahm has been one of the most exciting players on the tour this year and can absolutely rip the golf ball with a shortened back swing. It would not have been surprising if Rahm would have been beaten Sergio to a Major victory, but even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while. Rahm sank in the Boston Harbor over Labor Day weekend, but one thing is for sure... his blonde bombshell from ASU can save him with her safety flotation devices and provide the bounce back for this weekend. 

Bogey
Jason Day: +1,200 Outright Win and +220 Top 5 Finish

What happened to Jason Day? I have often found myself asking this question and now only get irritated watching his 20 minute pre-shot routine. We have seen glimmer of hope for Jason the past few weeks, and the dominating performance in 2015 (a 61 on day one and a -22, 6 shot victory over DB) have propelled him to a Vegas favorite. However, I am not ready to buy into the Aussie. Unlike Nike, who has seen three poster children slip from the top ranking in the world. Fellow Nike team member Michelle Wie is trying to fit in with the boys and the PGA tour, but for the love of god do not let her putting stroke ever be mimicked on tour.


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